Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.194960 0.226837 0.262354 0.304875 0.354427 0.410385 0.478427
2025-02-16 0.144606 0.186729 0.238805 0.308004 0.397705 0.510277 0.662662
2025-02-23 0.116192 0.161142 0.220823 0.306035 0.424917 0.585421 0.819512
2025-03-02 0.094957 0.139525 0.202220 0.297112 0.437662 0.639070 0.951296
2025-03-09 0.084089 0.129915 0.197698 0.305641 0.474092 0.728386 1.144246
2025-03-16 0.073840 0.119281 0.189562 0.306669 0.498134 0.800939 1.320413
2025-03-23 0.066582 0.112019 0.185218 0.312344 0.529247 0.887236 1.529002
2025-03-30 0.058441 0.102051 0.174977 0.306533 0.539967 0.940656 1.688686
2025-04-06 0.052147 0.094282 0.167244 0.303632 0.554694 1.001809 1.868934
2025-04-13 0.047367 0.088497 0.162102 0.304400 0.575607 1.075747 2.081429
2025-04-20 0.045012 0.086789 0.163953 0.318042 0.621722 1.200903 2.406916
2025-04-27 0.042534 0.084502 0.164384 0.328887 0.663593 1.322748 2.741817
2025-05-04 0.039828 0.081521 0.163296 0.336958 0.701747 1.443571 3.094890
2025-05-11 0.036832 0.077596 0.159903 0.339985 0.730141 1.548662 3.430899
2025-05-18 0.033679 0.072930 0.154405 0.337814 0.747091 1.631690 3.730163
2025-05-25 0.030209 0.067150 0.145871 0.327947 0.745852 1.675130 3.946083
2025-06-01 0.028728 0.065537 0.146055 0.337378 0.788999 1.822105 4.422814
2025-06-08 0.026740 0.062531 0.142801 0.338515 0.813056 1.928427 4.817199
2025-06-15 0.025310 0.060635 0.141814 0.344789 0.850017 2.069442 5.316934
2025-06-22 0.023169 0.056792 0.135867 0.338364 0.855125 2.134265 5.632364
2025-06-29 0.021439 0.053743 0.131450 0.335157 0.867848 2.219438 6.013141
2025-07-06 0.020104 0.051517 0.128772 0.336006 0.891087 2.334179 6.489923
2025-07-13 0.019642 0.051455 0.131460 0.351091 0.953769 2.559501 7.304783